Updated: Fri Oct-18-19 11:19pm EDT
Effective: Sat Oct-19-19 08:00am EDT
Expires: Sat Oct-19-19 08:00am EDT
Severity: Severe
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Possible
Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Coastal Charlotte; Coastal Citrus; Coastal Hernando; Coastal Hillsborough; Coastal Lee; Coastal Levy; Coastal Manatee; Coastal Pasco; Coastal Sarasota; DeSoto; Hardee; Highlands; Inland Charlotte; Inland Citrus; Inland Hernando; Inland Hillsborough; Inland Lee; Inland Levy; Inland Manatee; Inland Pasco; Inland Sarasota; Pinellas; Polk; Sumter
Message Summary: This product covers west central and southwest florida
**rain continues to spread inland over much of the gulf coast of
florida**
new information
---------------
* changes to watches and warnings:
- none
* current watches and warnings:
- a storm surge warning and tropical storm warning are in effect
for coastal levy
- a storm surge warning is in effect for coastal citrus, coastal
hernando, coastal pasco, and pinellas
* storm information:
- about 240 miles west of cedar key fl or about 270 miles
west-northwest of mouth of tampa bay fl
- 28.5n 87.0w
- storm intensity 60 mph
- movement northeast or 45 degrees at 23 mph
situation overview
------------------
tropical storm nestor continues to move northeastward over the
north-central gulf of mexico and is expected to reach the florida
panhandle early saturday morning. Primary concerns along the florida
west coast continue to be for heavy rainfall, isolated tornadoes and
minor to moderate coastal flooding, especially from the tampa bay area
northward.
Potential impacts
-----------------
* surge:
protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the nature coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts in tampa bay.
Elsewhere across west central and southwest florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.
* flooding rain:
protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest florida. Potential
impacts include:
- localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
and overflow in spots.
- flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.
* tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across west central and southwest florida. Potential impacts include:
- the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- a few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
* wind:
protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
levy county. Potential impacts in this area include:
- damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- a few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across west central and southwest florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.
Precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------
* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
* other preparedness information:
if you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!
If a tornado warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
next update
-----------
the next local statement will be issued by the national weather
service in tampa bay ruskin fl around 6 am edt, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
